All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Scott Hiles BNL Invitational |
Rushville Invitational |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Big Blue Invitational |
South Dearborn Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
Hoosier Hills Conference |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Brown County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/21 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/12 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
384 |
371 |
392 |
377 |
333 |
368 |
392 |
392 |
427 |
414 |
427 |
362 |
367 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
371 |
392 |
377 |
333 |
368 |
392 |
392 |
427 |
414 |
427 |
362 |
367 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Scott Hiles BNL Invitational |
Rushville Invitational |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Big Blue Invitational |
South Dearborn Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
Hoosier Hills Conference |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Brown County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 82 |
Dalton Craig |
12 |
16:28 |
16:32 |
16:30 |
16:28 |
16:23 |
16:11 |
16:33 |
16:36 |
16:41 |
16:35 |
16:45 |
16:17 |
16:28 |
| 127 |
Carter Leak |
10 |
16:43 |
16:46 |
16:48 |
16:56 |
17:05 |
16:52 |
16:49 |
16:42 |
16:46 |
16:31 |
16:46 |
16:31 |
16:37 |
| 153 |
Alex Hendrix |
11 |
16:48 |
16:46 |
16:50 |
16:45 |
16:26 |
16:42 |
16:50 |
17:01 |
16:53 |
17:02 |
16:33 |
16:56 |
16:45 |
| 210 |
Franklin Sanders |
12 |
16:56 |
16:48 |
16:42 |
17:01 |
16:41 |
16:52 |
16:59 |
16:47 |
17:03 |
17:13 |
16:51 |
17:01 |
16:58 |
| 574 |
Ryan Gasper |
12 |
17:41 |
17:34 |
17:51 |
17:25 |
17:18 |
18:09 |
17:35 |
17:40 |
17:52 |
17:41 |
18:14 |
17:32 |
17:34 |
| 1,001 |
Jason Gasper |
10 |
18:16 |
19:44 |
18:47 |
18:29 |
19:05 |
18:26 |
18:25 |
18:05 |
18:28 |
17:52 |
19:14 |
18:03 |
18:44 |
| 1,019 |
AJ Siener |
10 |
18:17 |
18:10 |
18:01 |
18:17 |
17:55 |
17:43 |
18:17 |
18:36 |
18:10 |
18:23 |
18:24 |
19:12 |
18:20 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
19.0 |
446 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
7.6 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
10.7 |
10.4 |
9.9 |
11.0 |
9.3 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
5.4 |
177 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
8.1 |
13.4 |
19.7 |
31.7 |
20.6 |
3.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.6 |
48 |
35.5 |
64.1 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
24 |
99.6 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dalton Craig |
100% |
75.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
79.7% |
| Carter Leak |
100% |
110.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
38.3% |
| Alex Hendrix |
100% |
120.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.1% |
| Franklin Sanders |
100% |
136.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.4% |
| Ryan Gasper |
100% |
189.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Jason Gasper |
100% |
204.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| AJ Siener |
100% |
204.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dalton Craig |
100% |
17.3 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Carter Leak |
100% |
26.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
5.2 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
5.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Alex Hendrix |
100% |
31.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Franklin Sanders |
100% |
41.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Ryan Gasper |
100% |
99.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
89.2% |
| Jason Gasper |
100% |
136.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.1% |
| AJ Siener |
100% |
137.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dalton Craig |
100% |
1.0 |
52.6 |
22.6 |
10.4 |
6.3 |
3.6 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Carter Leak |
100% |
4.1 |
2.7 |
15.4 |
16.2 |
14.0 |
13.2 |
10.1 |
9.5 |
6.7 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Alex Hendrix |
100% |
5.8 |
0.6 |
5.4 |
10.5 |
12.6 |
11.7 |
11.5 |
11.0 |
10.0 |
6.8 |
6.5 |
4.4 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Franklin Sanders |
100% |
8.8 |
|
0.6 |
1.8 |
4.7 |
6.2 |
7.4 |
10.0 |
10.7 |
11.5 |
10.9 |
8.0 |
7.5 |
5.7 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ryan Gasper |
100% |
25.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
5.3 |
7.5 |
10.1 |
11.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Jason Gasper |
100% |
39.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| AJ Siener |
100% |
40.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dalton Craig |
1.0 |
90.6 |
7.3 |
1.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Carter Leak |
1.8 |
5.6 |
54.1 |
26.2 |
9.0 |
3.6 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alex Hendrix |
2.6 |
1.3 |
23.2 |
42.1 |
20.1 |
7.7 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Franklin Sanders |
3.9 |
0.1 |
3.1 |
10.9 |
38.1 |
22.8 |
12.2 |
7.1 |
3.7 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Gasper |
11.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.9 |
4.9 |
10.4 |
16.9 |
22.8 |
23.3 |
13.0 |
3.3 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jason Gasper |
16.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
1.3 |
3.8 |
12.1 |
18.1 |
20.3 |
16.6 |
14.5 |
8.8 |
3.1 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| AJ Siener |
17.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
3.6 |
9.5 |
15.7 |
18.8 |
20.7 |
16.0 |
10.6 |
2.8 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
